Download e-book for kindle: Artificial Intelligence in Economics and Managment: An by Phillip Ein-Dor

By Phillip Ein-Dor

ISBN-10: 0792397614

ISBN-13: 9780792397618

ISBN-10: 1461286204

ISBN-13: 9781461286202

long ago many years a number of researchers have built statistical types for the prediction of company financial ruin, e. g. Altman (1968) and Bilderbeek (1983). A version for predicting company financial ruin goals to explain the relation among financial disaster and a couple of explanatory monetary ratios. those ratios may be calculated from the knowledge contained in a company's annual record. The is to procure a style for well timed prediction of financial ruin, a so­ final function known as "early caution" procedure. extra lately, this topic has attracted the eye of researchers within the region of laptop studying, e. g. Shaw and Gentry (1990), Fletcher and Goss (1993), and Tam and Kiang (1992). This learn is mostly directed on the comparability of computing device studying tools, reminiscent of induction of type timber and neural networks, with the "standard" statistical tools of linear discriminant research and logistic regression. In prior study, Feelders et al. (1994) played an analogous comparative research. The tools used have been linear discriminant research, choice timber and neural networks. We used a knowledge set which contained 139 annual stories of Dutch commercial and buying and selling businesses. The experiments confirmed that the envisioned prediction errors of either the choice tree and neural community have been less than the envisioned mistakes of the linear discriminant. therefore apparently we will achieve through exchanging the "traditionally" used linear discriminant through a extra versatile type way to are expecting company financial ruin. the information set utilized in those experiments was once very small however.

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Artificial Intelligence in Economics and Managment: An Edited Proceedings on the Fourth International Workshop: AIEM4 Tel-Aviv, Israel, January 8–10, 1996 by Phillip Ein-Dor

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